FREE BETA • ALL USERS
NFL BETA.
PREGAME MODELINGSport-specific quantitative engine will plug into the same Money Lab workflow.
LIVE LINESOdds board is already multi-sport; beta models will sit on top of those prices.
PROPS + ACTIVE PLAYERSPlanned player-state and prop-line integration follows the same player-ID mapping layer.
WEATHERWeather factor activates for outdoor fixtures instead of showing indoor nonsense.
THE LEDGERFootball bets will use the same saved-action, live probability and receipt system.
BETA ACCESSFree to every signed-in account for this season.
MODEL FAMILYCOMING ONLINEBeta outputs stay disabled until a real sport engine is connected. No fake projections.
MILKINS MONEY LAB • SAME WORKFLOW, SPORT-SPECIFIC MATH
SET THE TABLE. TUNE THE SPORT. RUN THE GAME.
01ENGINE + STYLE→02SPORT + GAME→03SPORT-SPECIFIC VARIABLES→04OFFICIAL + LAB
FREE BETA • ALL SIGNED-IN USERS
NFL MONEY LAB.
Run the protected Production alpha untouched, then apply football-specific Lab assumptions to a separate copy. Official and Lab outputs never overwrite each other.
PRIVATE ENGINENFL-v0.1.1-alpha20,000 SIMS • UNVALIDATED
01CHOOSE GAME
→02TUNE FOOTBALL
→03RUN OFFICIAL + LAB
READINESSPREVIEWING…—
MATCHUP——
BEST SPREAD——
BEST ML——
BEST TOTAL——
STEP 2 • CONNECTED PRODUCTION INPUTS
BUILD THE FOOTBALL SCENARIO.
Pick BOTH or one team. Switching teams restores that team’s saved value. Center is always Dick’s Pick.
AWAY0HOME0GAME0
CORE FOOTBALL CONTROLS
FREE BETA CONTROLS.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
How strongly the selected quarterback’s efficiency, completion quality, sacks, turnovers, scrambling and explosive passing influence the Lab run.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Amplifies or reduces the impact of the selected team’s current QB availability uncertainty.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected team’s EPA-style and success-rate deviation from league neutral.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected team’s defensive efficiency and opponent-success suppression.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales big-play creation and big-play prevention for the selected team.
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales red-zone touchdown execution and red-zone defense.
CLEARERDICK'S PICKHARSHER
GAME LEVEL
Amplifies or reduces the currently assembled temperature, wind and precipitation scenario. Outside the forecast window, the input remains explicitly pending.
2026 FOOTBALL BETA • SHARP CONTROLS
EVERY SLIDER IS OPEN THIS SEASON.
For the 2026 football beta, every signed-in user gets the full connected control board so we can collect better scenario evidence.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Amplifies or reduces current non-QB offensive personnel availability and limitation effects.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for the selected QB's current turnover-rate deviation from league neutral.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for the selected QB's current sack-rate deviation from league neutral.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected quarterback's current scrambling-value profile.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected offense's pass-protection strength without also changing defensive pressure.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected defense's pressure-rate profile without also changing offensive protection.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected offense's run-blocking strength.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected defense's run-stopping strength.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for offensive red-zone touchdown conversion.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for defensive red-zone touchdown prevention.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for offensive explosive-play creation.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Precision control for explosive plays allowed by the defense.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected team's current field-goal accuracy profile.
2026 BETA
LESSDICK'S PICKMORE
Scales the selected team's current return-value profile.
WHY ARE SOME FOOTBALL FACTORS NOT SLIDERS YET?
Production v0.1.1 applies a fixed home-field term. Correct neutral-site gating exists only in the private v0.2 Challenger.
Production v0.1.1 exposes these inputs but the calibration runner shows no current output sensitivity.
Implemented in the private Challenger research track; disconnected in current Production.
Implemented behind a Challenger research flag; current Production does not use punt net.
Exposed by Production but not blended into prediction strength yet.
Position/unit-specific defensive injury cascades are a Challenger research item, not current Production.
STEP 3
RUN OFFICIAL + YOUR LAB.
Sign in, choose a ready game, and run both branches with the same seed.
IMMUTABLE BETA RECEIPT
—
HOME WIN —MARGIN —TOTAL —TRUST —
→
HOME WIN —MARGIN —TOTAL —DELTA —
NO AUTOMATIC BET.These outputs are beta forward-test evidence. Market context is shown separately and never alters the raw Official branch.
MLB ENGINE ALPHA • FREE BETA
BASEBALL IS IN THE BUILDING.
MilkinsBaseball-Consigliere simulates one coherent baseball universe for game results and player distributions. The engine is ready; live lineup, starter, bullpen, park, umpire and weather assembly is the next feed layer.
PRIVATE ENGINECHECKING…v0.1.0-alpha
Team results and player box-score distributions come from the same simulations.
The raw output freezes before sportsbook evaluation.
Engineering convergence, not a claim of predictive edge.
Projected/confirmed lineups, starters, bullpen state, park, umpire and weather.
ENGINE SMOKE TEST
RUN THE VERIFIED EXAMPLE.
This is the deterministic integration fixture—not a live MLB game or bet.
EXAMPLE SCORE—
HOME WIN—
TOTAL RUNS—
TRUST—
PLAYER DISTRIBUTIONS—
—
NFL MONEY LAB
FACTOR
LEFTReduce the selected factor’s influence.
CENTERDick’s locked Production input.
RIGHTAmplify the selected factor’s influence.
PRODUCTION • MM27
NCAA BASKETBALL MONEY LAB.
Same workflow as football: choose the engine/profile and game, tune basketball-only inputs, then compare the locked Official branch with your Lab branch.
PRIVATE ENGINEMM27OFFICIAL + LAB ISOLATED
01ENGINE + STYLE
→02CHOOSE GAME
→03TUNE BASKETBALL
→04RUN OFFICIAL + LAB
STEP 3 • SPORT-SPECIFIC VARIABLES
BUILD THE BASKETBALL SCENARIO.
Pick both teams or one team. The center position is always Dick's Pick.
STEP 4
RUN OFFICIAL + YOUR LAB.
MM27 freezes the Official branch first. Your scenario is stored separately.
01STEP 1SET THE TABLE
→
02STEP 2BUILD THE SCENARIO
→
03STEP 3RUN THE GAME
DICK'S QUANTITATIVE BACK ROOM
MILKINS
MONEY LAB
One protected engine. Six profiles. Your scenario.
MM27 PROTECTED
DICK'S PICK LOCKED
20,000 SIMS
PROFILE
CONSIGLIERE
READY
01STEP 1SET THE TABLEChoose the game and MM27 profile.
MODEL PROFILETHE CONSIGLIERE
VERSION
v1.0CONS-v0.1.0-alpha
Our private flagship / best available model
Continuously updatedPrivate Production / Official
Profile Version
PUBLIC VERSIONv1.0
INTERNAL ID—
STATUSCURRENT
ROLE
—
UPDATE POLICY
—
LIFECYCLE
—
SELECTED MODEL
The Consigliere
Official • CONS-v0.1.0-alpha
MARKET SPREADKAN -2.5
MARKET TOTAL149.5
VENUEKansas
MARKET—Total —
ACCESSA GUY WE KNOW
STEP 2 • TUNE THE MONEY
MM27 MODEL FAMILY
SIX STYLES. ONE ENGINE.
REAL EVENT BRIDGE
LIVE MODELING STATUS.
GAME FEEDPREGAME / MARKET ONLY
MODELNFL PREGAME READY
LIVE SCORE/PLAY-BY-PLAYCONNECTOR PENDING
WATCHLIST0 EVENTS
Current beta can attach the pregame model and market to a canonical event. It will not fabricate live win probability until a verified score/clock/play-by-play connector is online.
BAYLOR51
2ND HALF11:42Houston ball
HOUSTON57
MM27_C LIVE WIN PROB.74%
LIVE FAIR SPREADHouston -5.1
LIVE FAIR TOTAL139.8
MARKETHouston -3.5
DICK'S LIVE CONVICTION
What Dick would bet right now
MM27 fair lineMarket line
TIPHALFTIMENOWFINAL
PACE VS PREGAME-4.2 poss.Slower than expected
3PT VARIANCEBaylor +8%Potential regression
FOUL PRESSUREHouston 7–5Watch bonus timing
TIMEOUTS3 / 2Houston edge late
REAL NFL PLAYER STATE
ROLE BOARD.
Current depth, availability and usage shares from the canonical NFL pipeline. Fantasy point distributions remain disabled until player-level stat simulation is calibrated.
Choose an NFL game to inspect real player roles.
YOUR TEAMThe Sunday GravyPPR scoring • 1 QB / 2 RB / 2 WR / FLEX
CURRENT LINEUP127.4projected pts
→
DICK'S LINEUP136.8projected pts
POINTS FOUND+9.4on your bench
| Player | Pos | Matchup | Proj. | Floor | Ceiling | Dick Says |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. DanielsQB1 | QB | vs DAL | 24.8 | 18.2 | 31.6 | START |
| B. HallRB1 | RB | @ MIA | 19.7 | 12.5 | 27.9 | START |
| J. GibbsRB2 | RB | vs GB | 18.9 | 11.7 | 28.5 | START |
| A. St. BrownWR1 | WR | vs GB | 20.4 | 13.1 | 28.8 | START |
| T. McLaurinBENCH | WR | vs DAL | 17.6 | 10.3 | 25.4 | FLEX ↑ |
| D. SmithFLEX NOW | WR | @ DEN | 11.2 | 7.8 | 18.9 | BENCH ↓ |
| K. PittsTE | TE | vs TB | 10.6 | 5.2 | 17.8 | WATCH |
Higher target share and a friendlier projected game script adds 6.4 expected points.
Wide outcome range. Keep him active only if late-week role signals stay stable.
Highest ceiling on the roster because rushing equity protects the floor.
02STEP 2
BUILD YOUR SCENARIO.
Choose the factor, choose the team, move the number.
SCENARIODICK'S PICK
AWAY CHANGES0
HOME CHANGES0
GAME CHANGES0
CENTER IS ALWAYS DICK’S PICK.
Step 3
OUR DICK VS. YOUR DICK.
Our official model stays locked. Your sliders create a separate scenario result.
MM27 READYPress Run the Game
MODEL—
PUBLIC VERSION—
PROFILE ID—
VERSION STATUSCURRENT
OUR DICKLOCKED
76—78
DUKEKANSAS
WIN PROB.Kansas 55%
FAIR SPREADKansas -2.0
FAIR TOTAL154.0
🔒 Max's official output cannot be changed by the sliders.
YOUR MILKINS MONEY LABSCENARIO
76—78
DUKEKANSAS
WIN PROB.Kansas 55%
LAB SPREADKansas -2.0
LAB TOTAL154.0
CHANGE VS MM27No material change
SCENARIO VERDICTPASS — NOT ENOUGH EDGE
DICK HARDNESS — DATA CONFIDENCE 54%
Move the sliders and Dick will tell you which assumptions changed the game.
FULL BREAKDOWN • PLAYER LAYER
PLAYER SHEET.
Projected minutes and box-score output from the player inputs currently loaded for this fixture.
IMPORTANT
This is a projection preview, not a live player-prop recommendation feed. Suggested player bets turn on only when actual sportsbook prop lines are connected.
PLAYER BET SCAN
WAITING FOR PROP LINES
Once player prop prices are connected, Dick will compare the projection to the best available line and surface only material edges.
MM27 Model Directory
The Consigliere
STYLE
RISK
BET FREQUENCY
BEST FOR
PROFILE
ENGINEMM27-v0.5.0-alpha
Role descriptions explain how each profile is designed to behave. Historical performance remains labeled unvalidated until the backtest/live sample is actually loaded and graded.
MILKINS MONEY LAB Help
What the fuck does this mean?
MM27_C COMPLETE
The Consigliere
DICK HAS SPOKEN.
AWAY—
—
HOME—
WIN PROBABILITY—
DICK'S FAIR LINE—
PROJECTED TOTAL—
DICK HARDNESSDATA CONFIDENCE—
DICK'S PICK
—
YOUR LAB VS. OUR DICK
—
Engine/version receipt
MILKINS MONEY LAB
Factor
LEFT
DICK'S PICK
RIGHT
Milkins Money Lab
WHAT IS DICK HARDNESS?
Dick Hardness is MM27's data-confidence / model-readiness score. It measures how much the engine trusts the information going into the game. It is not the probability that a pick wins.
85–100HIGH
Lineups, injuries, roles, stats and sample quality are strong. Normal model exposure can be considered.
70–84MEDIUM
Useful model read, but meaningful uncertainty remains. Size down or demand more edge.
<70LOW
Noisy or incomplete inputs. Wider outcome range; caution or pass.
WHAT GOES INTO IT
Lineup certaintyInjury certaintyRole stability
Stats completenessSample sizeGame volatility
Availability ambiguity penalty
Purpose: Hardness widens or narrows MM27's uncertainty around the projection and helps guide how much trust/exposure a recommendation deserves. Win probability is shown separately.
MM27 Version Vault
MODEL ARCHIVE.
Every material profile version keeps its own immutable identity. Archived versions remain available for historical replay and comparison instead of being silently overwritten.
SELECTED PROFILE
—
—
THE RULE
We do not invent history. A version appears here only after it actually existed and was superseded by a later explicit profile version.